Posted By Joshua Keating Share

My attention was struck yesterday by a blog post published by the U.N.'s Alliance of Civilizations, which states that the now ubiquitous term Arab Spring, was "first used by Foreign Policy Magazine and then adopted by journalists and activists in the US as a way to brand the revolution that has been transforming the MENA region for almost a year now."

I didn't recall FP coining the term, and was curious about whether that was true. The answer turns out to be, kinda, sorta, maybe.

It's not well remembered at this point, but the term "Arab Spring" was originally used, primarily by U.S. conservative commentators, to refer to a short-lived flowering of Middle Eastern democracy movements in 2005.

On Jan. 6 of this year -- only two days after the death of Tunisian fruit-vendor Mohamed Bouazizi -- FP's Marc Lynch wrote a post titled "Obama's 'Arab Spring,'" in which he remarked on the emerging "clashes through a diverse array of Arab states -- Tunisia, Jordan, Kuwait, Egypt":

Are we seeing the beginnings of the Obama administration equivalent of the 2005 "Arab Spring", when the protests in Beirut captured popular attention and driven in part by newly powerful satellite television images inspired popular mobilization across the region that some hoped might finally break through the stagnation of Arab autocracy? Will social media play the role of al-Jazeera this time? Will the outcome be any different? 

It's the earliest reference to "Arab Spring" on the FP site and the earliest one I can find from 2011, though I invite readers to submit earlier links.

According to Lexis-Nexis, the earliest use without reference to the 2005 events was a Jan. 14 editorial in the Christian Science Monitor, following the ouster of Tunisian President Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali. 

Arab spring? Or Arab winter?

That choice is now before the autocratic rulers in the Middle East and North Africa as they nervously watch a popular uprising oust a repressive leader in one of the smallest – but most stable – countries of the region, Tunisia.

The next reference is a Jan. 25 interview with  Egyptian opposition leader Mohammed ElBaradei in Der Spiegel:

Perhaps we are currently experiencing the first signs of an "Arab Spring" (e.g. similar to the so-called Prague Spring of political liberalization in Czechoslovakia in 1968). Our neighbors are watching Egypt, which has always played a pioneering role. I hope that my country will be one of the first in which freedom and democracy blossom. We Egyptians should also be able to achieve what the Tunisians have done.

The following day, French political scientist Dominique Moisi used it as the title of a syndicated column. 

By mid-March the term had entered wide use in the media including this site, ironically at the moment where it appeared to be running out of steam. 

Despite its wide use, many Arab intellectuals and activists have always been somewhat uncomfortable with the term. This shouldn't be surprising since it refers back to the "Prague Spring," a brief moment of democratic freedom that was eventually crushed by Soviet tanks. 

But for better or worse, and whoever first coined it, the term has stuck. 

When did you first hear or read "Arab Spring?" Let us know in the comments. 

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EXPLORE:THUMBS
 

JOHN MILTON XIV

2:14 AM ET

November 5, 2011

Always thought that the term

Always thought that the term "Arab Spring" was more than a little optimistic if not downright eschatological. As we can see currently in Egypt, whether or not the end result is a good one both very much remains to be seen and will very likely be necessarily a "some good/some bad" result.

(Autotocthonous revolutions are probably likely to deliver better results, and governments with greater legitimacy, than regime change imposed by foreign invasions -with strong imperialist overtones and intentions- such as Iraq and AfPak, however)

Thanks for reference to the "Prague Spring". Is that what the word "Spring" is a reference to? That's something which has always puzzled me a bit. I had thought that the reference was to the European 1848 "Springtime of Nations".

In both cases, the reference is Eurocentric and hence likely to be massively inaccurate.

Possibly therefore, it may be better to refer to current events as "The Second Arab Revolt"? And hence delineate a historical continuity between the Arab Revolt of 1916-1918 and the present?

 

JOHN MILTON XIV

2:23 AM ET

November 5, 2011

Corection to above

1848, of course, is often referred to in the historiography of the period as "the Spring of Nations" or as "The Springtime of the Peoples".

 

JIMMYLACARIA

2:49 AM ET

November 5, 2011

Funny

A few days ago, I grabbed a lightweight jacket out of my closet and an old journal of CFR's Foreign Affairs fell to the floor. It is the May/June 2005 issue. The first issue on the cover is "An Arab Spring?" The articles include Fouad Ajami's "The Autumn of the Autocrats", Bernard Lewis' "Freedom and Justice in the Modern Middle East" and David Makovsy's "Gaza: Moving Forward by Pulling Back".

Then today, while getting a juicer out to make apple cider, I found a copy of Foreign Affairs agenda for 1995. Fun to look at the past's predictions. Reminds me of CNAS's The Honorable Dr. Richard J. Danzig's recent report, "Driving in the Dark: Ten Propositions About Prediction and National Security".

http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_Prediction_Danzig.pdf

 

TING_M_1999

8:11 AM ET

November 5, 2011

America Fall

The recent activist movements in America have come around from the Arab Spring and becomes the America Fall.

 

JOHN MILTON XIV

10:14 AM ET

November 5, 2011

American decline long

American decline long pre-dates the current Second Arab Revolt.

It might be useful to date the beginning of American as circa 1970 when America was bogged down in Vietnam - which of course led to ignominious defeat - and when Nixon dissolve the Bretton-Woods system in order to continue to pay for this lost and catastrophic cause.

Cf eg. Immanuel Wallerstein.

http://www.iwallerstein.com/wp-content/uploads/docs/eagle.pdf

Unfortunately this is the only article of Wallerstein's which is readily available on the net. Wallerstein's thesis is expanded in his book "The Decline of American Power: The US in a Chaotic World" (2003)

 

LIVESTRONG10

6:44 PM ET

November 7, 2011

Interesting

Thanks for posting, goes to show how it's tough to tell where things originate in our crazy wired world where everybody can be publisher.

 

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