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The Uzbekistan option

With Kyrgyzstan taking another step toward shuttering the Manas air base, there's increasing speculation that the Obama administration is considering resuming military cooperation with Uzbekistan, which expelled the U.S. in 2005 in the midst of a diplomatic feud over the country's human rights record. Christopher Flavelle writes in Slate:
The shifting landscape around Afghanistan is closing off options for Obama, who must now begin to think about unsavory compromises if he wants to make progress in the Afghan campaign. [...]
President George W. Bush, though largely indifferent to public opinion, could afford to do the honorable thing in 2005 by walking away from an ugly regime in Uzbekistan, when Afghanistan was looking better and the base in Kyrgyzstan was still available. Obama, whose inauguration speech promised that the ideals of rule of law and rights of man "still light the world, and we will not give them up for expedience's sake," may have to let his image suffer because he lacks the options of his predecessor.
Obama may still be spared this unpleasant choice. Analysts tell Eurasianet the Kyrgyz move is likely a ploy to get Washington to pony up more cash for the base, though some recent statements from the U.S. military indicate that Kyrgyzstan may have overplayed its hand.
Hopefully the Uzbekistan option is being floated by the Obamans as a bargaining chip with Kyrgyzstan and won't actually come to pass. Kyrgyzstan's not exactly Canada but Uzbekistan is in a class of its own as a human rights abuser and Fred Kaplan's 2005 arguments for why the U.S. should steer well clear of the place still hold.
Given all his encouraging human rights rhetoric, it would be nice if Obama could just minimize his dealings with post-Soviet dictatorships. Besides, his campaign manager and his secretary of state's husband have them well covered.
VYACHESLAV OSELEDKO/AFP/Getty Images













Absolutely Wrong Take
Ah- the safe myth of "Bush indifferent to public opinion" - easy does it. Some may not like Hitchens' recent outbursts that the American people craved torture (paraphrase) - but let's not forget the state of the nation when we went into Afghanistan, lets not forget the convictions of the media, when they (thats right, they, not just Bush), drove us into Iraq. Speaking of the Iraq swindle, how many FP articles were published against the venture? How many FP contributors, spoke out against it? Raise your hands - is it just me, or I don't see anyone?
Beyond the Bush scapegoat - Uzbekistan has nothing to do with not caring for public opinion. Uzbekistan was covered in Simon Reeves's BBC "The Stans", so the closest anyone in the Anglophonic world ever came to the country's name, was under a generic "stan". Andijan, came and went faster than three days of the Iraq slaughterhouse. There is no public opinion on Tashkent, as there is none on Harrare or Brazaville.
NATO still uses K2 for its supply route to Afghanistan - let's be clear about this. It was the US that was evicted, not the NATO alliance.
Now let's recall something else - torture. It was the UK, and the US, that willingly rendition terrorist suspects, to Karimov's kingdom - and with the express purpose, of having them tortured. Or is this something so far in the past, that its no longer true?
As for the cookie-cutter take on Uzbekistan. For those whose only knowledge of it comes second-hand (99% of you) I suggest the Reeve's documentary. At least you'll understand, that most of what goes on in the country has to do with stabilising a state under extreme threat from Jihadism, and the drug-trade. While the UK needs the CIA to run MI5's domestic spying on 4000 potential Pakistani British-national jihadi's, Karimov is monitoring all mosques and islamic organisations, for the content of their prayers. If analysts and "experts" continue to apply cookie-cutters to their understanding of the world, rest assured, another surprise will take you off-guard, and soon you'll look as silly as when the financial crisis, the WMD, the 9/11, 7/7 and a slew of related events, exposed you for poor practitioners of prudence.
It's just ridiculous, the way in which we need to cookie-cut everything to the point of digestibles. It's like otherwise, you'd have to do some real research, right? Maybe even take a trip to the country, brush up on Uzbek (its a Turkic language, if you're wondering). Get your boots on - and maybe listen to a sermon at a local mosque?
FP articles against the war
well there you go...
looks like common sense, which was all that was needed to avert the Iraq mess, reigned elsewhere.
Kudos to Walt, Mearshimer, and Strauss.
Obama repeats Bush's mistake
Have we already forgotten about the massacre at Andjon, the worst human rights abuse since Tienanmen Square? The Obama administration is making the same mistake as the Bush administration. We have turned the other way while the heinous, corrupt despot Islam Karimov enslaves his own people.
We are making a deal with the devil - and just to fight a war that we cannot win!