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Hillary being set up to fail?
An interesting theory from Ross Douthat:
...there will be difficulties - maybe a lot of difficulties - along the way, and it's very easy to imagine a scenario in which the withdrawal from Iraq ends up dominating the foreign-affairs side of the ledger in Obama's first term, and not necessarily in a good way. And by putting the job in the hands of Robert Gates and Hillary Clinton - a Republican appointee and a primary-season rival who attacked him from the right on foreign policy - Obama has effectively given realists and liberal hawks partial ownership of whatever happens in Iraq between now and 2011. In a best-case scenario for progressives, Gates and Clinton will play the role Colin Powell played in the run-up to the Iraq War (except with a better final outcome, obviously): Their association with the policy will help keep non-progressives on board when things get dicey, and then once the job is done they'll be pushed aside and someone like Susan Rice will take over Obama's post-occupation foreign policy.
Again, interesting, but I find it hard to imagine that Barack Obama really thinks this way. Just try to picture the meeting where he and his closest advisors hash out this strategy: "Hey, David, let's set Hillary up for failure so that Susan Rice can implement her liberal agenda in 2012!" This man has just become the president of the United States, and by all indications -- like today's announcement of his economic team -- he is a serious person, not a political hack.
(Hat tip: Andrew Sullivan)













He's not that cynical, yet
I agree with Blake's assessment. Obama just got elected and in his excitement, he believes he is setting up a Camelot cabinet right now. He's not thinking about who will replace the current people he's putting into place. When you put the best people in place you don't think about their replacement. There isn't any sign Obama is that cynical, not yet at least.
This was a practical choice for many reasons. One of which is that Obama's Iraq plan evolved over the time of the campaign and came more in line with Senator Clinton's. He needs a strong, realist Democrat in place who can help deflect criticism from his own party about staying active in Iraq and Afghanistan for longer than some may like.
I don't know
I don't think Obama necessarily has devious intentions to actually plan to replace her, but I'm sure he would have made a list of pros and cons for each potential Secretary. To a certain extent Hillary is a face and a brand and it would be fairly easy to fire her and blame her for foreign policy missteps if he is unsuccessful.
If Bush would have fired Rumsfeld and run with a new VP instead of Cheney, I think he could have gotten away from a lot of the blame for Iraq.
All I'm saying is that I don't think he's that naieve that the thought didn't cross his mind.