Let's compare track records...

Fri, 04/25/2008 - 7:41pm

I was mildly amused to see FP contributor and respected nuclear expert Joe Cirincione labeled "Obama's radioactive potato" and "an apologist for Syria" this week on Commentary's "Connecting the Dots" blog and the Powerline blog, respectively.

At issue are some comments Cirincione made on Passport back in September, when early, sketchy media reports about the alleged Syrian nuclear site were just coming out. Like me, Cirincione was highly skeptical at the time, though subsequent disclosures have obviously caused him to revise his views.

Powerline's Paul Mirengoff seems to think Cirincione is biased against Israel -- even though the latter has family in Israel and describes himself as "strongly pro-Israel." Commentary's Gabriel Schoenfeld, meanwhile, is certain that Cirincione, despite his rather explicit denial, really is secretly the top nuclear advisor to the Obama campaign. I guess conspiracy theories aren't exclusive to the Middle East.

"I am one of over a hundred experts advising the campaign," Cirincione told me over e-mail, "and have never claimed to be a top advisor, nor have I been listed that way by the campaign." Denis McDonough -- who really is a top Obama advisor -- confirmed to me that "Joe Cirincione is one of hundreds of people advising the campaign. He is not Senator Obama's top advisor."

What about Syria? "No one bats 1.000," as Cirincione tried to explain to Schoenfeld, but his track record is far better than most. And if you compare his record on Iraq to Commentary's, well -- it's just laughable. Here's Frederick Kagan writing in December 2002:

THE INVASION of Iraq is an essential requirement of American and global security. That is not simply because Saddam Hussein possesses chemical and biological weapons, or even because he is actively working to acquire nuclear weapons. It is because he is a violent megalomaniac determined to recast the Middle East in his image and willing to use absolutely any means to do so, even if it results in his own destruction.

On March 23, 2003, Cirincione wrote:

Here are four likely consequences of America's first preemptive war: Instability in the Middle East will increase; Terrorism will increase; Alliances will weaken; and Proliferation may worsen.

If the United States had taken his advice and backed coercive inspections (pdf), a whole lot of American blood and treasure could have been saved -- and those consequences might have been avoided. That's a much bigger deal than some hasty comments on a blog post.

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people like mirengoff cant be trusted

there's a cabal who will call anyone who levels criticism on israel as being "biased against israel" or even anti-semitic. hell, jimmy carter, a true man of peace, was just called a jew-hating "bigot" for engaging hamas in dialogue. this is madness. any neutral observer would make the observation that israel is engaged in some horrific practices (a brutal military occupation, economic strangulation by checkpoint, expansion of illegal jewish-only settlements, a complete blockage on gaza, etc). neutral foreign policy experts are also in agreement that hamas needs to be engaged if there is ever to be middle east peace. israel and its most fervent zionist backs were saying the EXACT same things in the 1980s about fatah that they are now saying about hamas - and fatah is now israel-friendly and little more than a client party of the west. time to get real about israel's bad behavior and engaging hamas!