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Morning Brief: Pakistan's expanding chaos

TOP STORY: Pakistan claims to be making progress in its offensive against the Taliban in the Swat Valley, but reliable information is hard to come by. Pakistan's interior minister says that 700 rebels were killed by raids in Swat over the last four days, though the military puts the number at only around 140. A suicide bomber killed 10 soldiers at a checkpoint earlier today.
What is certain is that Pakistan is facing a full-blown refugee crisis as a result of the fighting. Some 360,000 people from the disputed areas of Swat, Buner and Dir have registered at refugee camps since May 2, according to the U.N.
While most analysts say an Islamist takeover of the Pakistani state remains unlikely, the New York Times reports that al Qaeda is likely seizing on the chaos to create "mini-Afghanistans" throughout Pakistan, from which it can launch attacks with impunity.
UNDER THE RADAR: Peru's cocaine trade is booming again after a 1990s drop-off, giving new life to the country's Shining Path rebels.
Middle East
- Imprisoned American journalist Roxana Saberi has received a suspended sentence from an Iranian court and will likely be released today.
- U.S. President Barack Obama has chosen Egypt as the venue for a high-profile address to the Muslim world next month.
- The Pope has arrived for a five-day visit to Israel.
- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made a surprise visit to Iraq on Sunday.
Asia
- The United Nations is calling a Sri Lankan artillery assault, which killed at least 378 civilians over the weekend, a "bloodbath."
- Japanese opposition leader Ichiro Ozawa resigned over a corruption scandal.
- Nepal's Maoists have vowed to disrupt sessions of parliament until the president agrees to their demand that the head of the army be dismissed.
Europe
- Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili will meet with opposition leaders today to try to bring an end to months of political deadlock.
- British PM Gordon Brown has apologized on behalf of all political parties after leaked invoices show MPs filing expense reports for items like doog food and light bulbs.
- Hundreds of Tamil protesters are blocking traffic in downtown London.
Africa
- New South African President Jacob Zuma has chosen his cabinet with few major ideological changes.
- Zimbabwean Prime Minsiter Morgan Tsvangirai played down his dispute with President Robert Mugabe.
- Veterans of Kenya's Mau Mau rebellion are suing the British governent for alleged human rights abuses.
Americas
- Flooding is receding in northern Brazil after 300,000 people were displaced.
- Seven Colombian troops were killed in an ambush by FARC rebels.
- U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates will defend his proposed budget before a skeptical Congress this week.













US official mentions Israel's nukes
I thought the following FT story was of interest to FP readers:
Taboo broken in first shot of US offensive