Supporting Veterans

Posted By Carolyn O'Hara

VetYou've probably seen a lot of news about veterans recently, and very little of it has been good. Millions could be the victims of identity theft. A staggering 144,000 veterans of the current wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have sought treatment from the VA system, but the VA can do little but try to care for them on the cheap, given its slashed budget. Astonishingly, 33,858 more vets asked the VA for treatment in just the first quarter of FY2006 than the VA expects all year.

So in honor of Memorial Day, FP's Seven Questions this week is with Jon Soltz, director of the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America PAC. We asked him about veterans' financial debts, the "patriot penalty", and why there are reports of high homelessness among Iraq veterans. In response to our question about how this administration should be graded on its treatment of vets, Soltz had this to say:

The veteran who walks into the Department for Veterans Affairs (VA) today is drastically worse off than he or she was four or five years ago. They pay more for their prescription drugs. There is now a fee for them to enroll into the system. Iraq war veterans put a tremendous demand on the VA, specifically because we’ve deployed so many members of the Guard and Reserves. There’s also a problem with diagnosis of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). A lot of people with PTSD get diagnosed with “adjustment disorder” primarily because there’s not enough money in the VA budget to provide these heroes with the disability payments they should be given. 

North Korea: The land we all forgot

Posted By James Forsyth

North KoreaIf you approached random wonks on Massachusetts Avenue, Washington's think tank row (and home to FP), and asked what concerns them in the world, you'd get a fairly standard response. In some order: Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, the Middle East, Darfur, AIDS, and climate change. Before July 4th, North Korea wouldn't have instantly sprung to mind for most people, your correspondent included. But forget for a second Kim's nuclear ambitions and just think about what he does to his own people. Here's a regime so barbaric that people are burned at the stake with their own relatives lighting the fire. If that wasn't enough, it also tests chemical weapons on its own citizens detained in concentration camps.

There is, though, no public - or expert - clamor for intervention. It's true that there are no good options for dealing with North Korea, but as Anne Applebaum pointed out - two years ago - our collective indifference makes a mockery of our outrage at the appeasement of fascism in the '30s and the failure to nip genocide in the bud. It is not like our leaders are unaware of what's going on either. George W. Bush famously lost it discussing North Korea with Bob Woodward, roaring "I loathe Kim Jong Il!…I've got a visceral reaction to this guy, because he is starving his people." Tony Blair has rightly called the failure to protest North Korea the "biggest scandal in progressive politics" today. The best you can say about these statements is that they at least show that Bush and Blair's moral compasses are pointing in the right direction.

Tough questions

Posted By Mark I. Levenstein

zubaydahIt's no surprise that Bush's strenuous defense of "tough" interrogation methods for terror detainees found a fan in the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal. On Friday, the page accused the anti-Bush crowd of endangering civil liberties by objecting to the administration's sanctioning of "aggressive questioning" to obtain information. You may be asking yourself: Huh? Well, the argument was limited to the endangerment of Americans’ civil liberties as opposed to human beings’ civil liberties. But the last time I checked, freedom from cruel and inhumane treatment was for all, not just Americans. And the comparison of the legally-questionable domestic surveillance program and - incredibly - "the unhappy experience of airport security" to waterboarding is fairly ridiculous.

According to the WSJ, Bush's explanation of how the CIA's interrogation techniques led us from Abu Zubaydah to the discovery of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed's alias, "Muktar," and to his accomplice, Ramzi bin al-Shibh, showed "quite clearly [that] the interrogations are a major reason there have been no further terrorist attacks on American soil in the past five years." The problems with this statement are two-fold: First – to beat a dead horse – we all know that all of this talk about how well we've protected ourselves from terrorist attacks is only good until the next attack. Second, as Mark Mazzetti of the New York Times wrote on Friday, the 9/11 commission report and Zacarias Moussaoui's December 2001 federal grand jury indictment show that the government was aware of this information before Abu Zubaydah's 2002 capture. Both problems call for more caution before the U.S. adopts aggressive interrogation as the standard.

He Won't Back Down

Posted By James Forsyth

“No good options,” used to be Washington’s favorite cliché about Iran policy. It is in danger of becoming the buzz phrase for Iraq too. The whispers that the Bush administration will accept partition or a coup in Iraq are getting ever louder. Either option would be disastrous. As one of my smartest friends likes to say, partitioning Iraq would be like the partition of India—in which more than half a million people died—but with added AK-47s. As Anthony Cordesman pointed out when Joe Biden and Les Gelb floated this idea earlier this year, "Iraq is heavily urbanized, with nearly 40 percent of the population in the multiethnic greater Baghdad and Mosul areas. We have seen in Northern Ireland and the Balkans how difficult it is to split cities." For difficult, read bloody.

A coup also seems superficially appealing: Get a strong man in, restore order. But a coup is a lot like a stroke, once you’ve had one you’re much more likely to have another. The idea that a coup in Iraq would be a one time event is as naïve as the idea that a democratic society would emerge fully formed from the chrysalis of authoritarianism.

Thankfully,a U.S.-sanctioned coup or partition appears unlikely. Bush doesn’t sound like a man about to embrace either option. “It is [surrender], if you pull the troops out before the job is done,” he told George Stephanopoulos. If it weren't for that pesky cease and desist letter, Bush would be breaking out the Tom Petty again: “I won't back down, no I won't back down, You can stand me up at the gates of hell, But I won't back down.”

Breaking: Bolton will resign

Posted By Carolyn O'Hara

bolton 2The White House just announced that John Bolton, the most controversial U.S. ambassador to the United Nations in history, will step down within weeks when his temporary appointment is up. So, who is in line to replace him? FP recently considered the contenders to fill Bolton's shoes

Quotable: Tony Snow (and Wonkette) on the State of the Union

Posted By Carolyn O'Hara

Wonkette previews tonight's State of the Union address with a snippet from Tony Snow's press briefing yesterday:

Q Have you seen [the speech]?
MR. SNOW: Yes.
Q Is it any good?
MR. SNOW: Yes, of course it's good. (Laughter.)
Q Does it have anything new in it?
MR. SNOW: Yes, it does.
Q What's the best part?
Q Really? I mean —
MR. SNOW: You know, it's difficult to say. It's like looking in a drawer full of diamonds.

Unfortunately, they're blood diamonds.

Zalmay Khalilzad's manly vest

Posted By Blake Hounshell

My only question about the outgoing U.S. ambassador's tricked-out bullet-proof vest is, will he take it with him when he leaves Iraq?

His replacement in Baghdad, Ryan Crocker, doesn't seem like quite the self-aggrandizing type.

North Korea deal a failure?

Posted By Blake Hounshell

Back in April, amid speculation that Vice President Dick Cheney had lost influence within the Bush administration, I wrote of the North Korea deal:

Cheney, like Richard Perle and John Bolton, thinks the North Korea deal will ultimately fail. If and when it does, he'll be vindicated. That's why he let it go through.

Well, here comes former Ambassador to the U.N. Bolton with a big, fat, "I told you so" column in today's Wall Street Journal. Writing a day after a historic train ride between the two Koreas, Bolton crows:

Over a month has passed since sweetness and light were due to break out on the Korean Peninsula. On Feb. 13, the Six-Party Talks in Beijing ratified a bilateral agreement between the U.S. and North Korea, providing for Pyongyang to give up its nuclear programs. The first step, 60 days after ratification, was to be that North Korea "will shut down and seal for the purpose of eventual abandonment" the Yongbyon nuclear facility, and readmit inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Other steps were to follow, but the first move was unequivocally to be made by Pyongyang. The 60 days came and went, and indeed, another 35 days have come and gone. No IAEA inspectors have been readmitted, and not even Pyongyang claims that it has "shut down" Yongbyon.

I'm not ready to declare the deal a failure just yet. But you can expect Cheney to do so, and to use the situation to his advantage on other fronts—such as Iran, where he's been losing the policy fight to the State Department of late. (Witness the upcoming bilateral talks on Iraq between the United States and Iran.) Bolton hints at next steps in his piece:

How these issues play out will have ramifications far beyond North Korea, particularly for Iran.

Indeed they will. Cheney has hinted darkly that the United States may have to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities, if only because Israel will do so on its own. Incidentally, 71 percent of Israelis "believe that the United States should launch a military attack on Iran if diplomatic efforts fail to halt Tehran's nuclear program." Military action is not necessarily on the table—few in Washington think that, at least for now. We might just see a more confrontational approach to Tehran, tighter sanctions, less willingness to offer incentives, etc. The point is, if you think the hawks have completely lost this argument, think again. Of course, if U.S. negotiator Christopher Hill manages to get the North Korea deal back on track, Iran will then be State's game to lose.

The many secrets of Dick Cheney

Posted By Carolyn O'Hara

At the very least, the Bush administration has done wonders for the careers of constitutional scholars. Nary a month goes by when there isn't some sort of controversy about what the White House can or can't assert, who they can or can't lock up, and which laws they do or don't have to respect. Behind many of these constitutional dust-ups lurks Vice President Dick Cheney, either as the person in question, or as the architect of administration policy.


SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images

Which is why it's laughable that the most powerful veep in U.S. history claims that he has a particularly unique perch—part of both the executive and legislative branches—that allows him to essentially do whatever he wants. His special status makes him immune to pesky things like executive orders, particularly those that might dent his penchant for secrecy. The latest outrage: In response to a 2003 executive order that requires all entities within the executive branch "that come into the possession of classified material" to report how much information they are keeping secret, Cheney simply hasn't complied. He hasn't reported for years the number of documents his office is stamping confidential, and he's gone so far as to suggest that the Information Security Oversight Office (ISOO), charged with keeping track of the information classified by the government, be abolished.

The 2003 executive order in question clearly gives the ISOO the authority to conduct on-site inspections (which Cheney wouldn't allow) and to demand annual reports on how many documents were being classified (which Cheney wouldn't file). The order gives classification powers to the veep that are identical to those of the president—as long as the veep is acting "in the performance of executive duties." So, why doesn't Cheney comply with the order?

The obvious answer is that Cheney simply considers his actions above public purview. And he's the extreme end of a larger problem: Since 1996, the number of federal documents stamped secret each year has nearly tripled, even if you don't count the OVP's double-secret files.

It's a dangerous trend. As Jacob Shapiro, a fellow at Stanford's Center for International Security and Cooperation, argues in the latest issue of FP, the dramatic rise in government secrecy over the past few years leaves some of the country's best minds—security analysts, professors, and researchers outside the government—in the dark. So, while Cheney's office argues that secrecy keeps us safe by preventing information from falling into the wrong hands, classifying such an extraordinary amount leaves us more vulnerable. At the very least, Cheney should be letting us know how many secrets he's actually keeping.

Refighting Vietnam

Posted By Blake Hounshell

Americans, it seems, will never stop arguing over Vietnam. FP entered this debate, in a way, by publishing a recently declassified CIA memo that eerily foreshadows the United States' strategic dilemmas in Iraq. And yesterday, Bush broached an informal code among U.S. presidents—don't refight the Vietnam war—by strongly implying that the United States should not have withdrawn from that conflict. It was a risky political move on Bush's part, but it accords with the views of people like Peter Rodman, who until recently was an assistant secretary defense. Rodman, who is now at Brookings, wrote this back in July:     

[M]ilitary historians are coming to a consensus that by the end of 1972, there was a much-improved balance of forces in Vietnam, reflected in the 1973 Paris agreement, and that Congress subsequently pulled the props out from under that balance of forces—dooming Indochina to a bloodbath. This is now a widely accepted narrative of the endgame in Vietnam, and it has haunted the Democrats for a generation.   

Rodman doesn't back these assertions with evidence, so it's hard to judge whether this is indeed the consensus of military historians. It's definitely the view of former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, who warned in May that, just as he saw in Vietnam, "American disunity" could doom Iraq. And today, Thom Shanker of the New York Times cobbled together a quick story headlined, "Historians Question Bush's Reading of Lessons of Vietnam War for Iraq," but the piece quotes only one military historian, plus one political scientist and one senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. So, any military historians out there? Is the Bush/Rodman narrative the consensus of your peers? Email Passport with your answers.

Something else died on the streets of Yangon

Posted By Mike Boyer


SHAUN HEASLEY/Getty Images News

It was January 20, 2005, a heady time. U.S. President George W. Bush had just won reelection and believed the Bush Doctrine had handed him a powerful mandate. And he intended to run with it:

Today America speaks anew to the peoples of the world: All who live in tyranny and hopelessness can know: the United States will not ignore your oppression, or excuse your oppressors. When you stand for your liberty, we will stand with you."

Oh, how times have changed. This was White House Press Secretary Dana Perino speaking to reporters yesterday:

I have a statement by the President on Burma that I will read out for him," she said, "and then a statement about the FAA.... I call on all nations that have influence with the regime to join us in supporting the aspirations of the Burmese people and to tell the Burmese Junta to cease using force on its own people who are peacefully expressing their desire for change."

In case you missed it, that was the vaunted "freedom agenda" lumped in with airport delays. To the tens of thousands of Burmese risking life and limb to demand freedom from their oppressors, Perino essentially said: We aren't really going to stand with you, but we'll definitely put a call in to China and Russia to see what they can do.

The hope of the Bush administration is apparently that increased sanctions—or the threat of them—and travel restrictions on a half dozen or so top junta leaders will bring the regime in Yangon crumbling down.

But just ask a Cuban how effective these kinds of sanctions are at toppling dictatorial regimes. The increased sanctions Bush announced at the United Nations on Wednesday are little more than symbolic. They will likely have almost no impact on the political situation, and the same goes for Europe's existing sanctions. As one European observer put it, "Stopping European companies from investing in a pineapple juice factory is laughable."

As for the now apparently universal belief that China can somehow be shamed into pressing the junta for democratic reforms, that's a joke—as Bill Overholt pointed out here on Wednesday. But let's step back for a second here: Is the United States really prepared to stake the hopes of freedom on the Chinese Communist Party? Is this what the Bush Doctrine has come to? 

The danger of the Bush Doctrine was always that people in places like Burma, Sudan, or Zimbabwe might take it seriously. That they would literally stand up for their freedom, expecting Team Bush to stand with them. "We either go to democracy or back to military dictatorship," one Burmese citizen wrote to the BBC this week. The Bush administration, apparently believing it has done enough, is prepared to sit back and watch the latter happen. More than 100,000 Burmese citizens a day are standing, and the Bush administration is sitting down.

That may be the saddest comment yet on the Bush Doctrine.

The envoy that time (and Bush) forgot

Posted By Carolyn O'Hara


SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images

Forgive for a moment a short trip down memory lane: Back in the last half of June, Hamas had just kicked Fatah out of Gaza, the surge wasn't working, a huge truck bomb decimated a Baghdad mosque, early leaders of the "Anbar Awakening" were killed in a suicide bombing, and one of U.S. President George W. Bush's steadfast Republican supporters broke ranks with him on Iraq. Not a great month by anyone's count, least of all President Bush.

Amidst these dismal headlines, the White House managed to regain control of the headlines with a big announcement on June 27. That day, Bush declared that he would appoint the first U.S. envoy to the Organization of the Islamic Conference, a group of 57 countries that promotes "solidarity and cooperation among Islamic states."

Bush's aims for the appointment were simple:

[T]o "listen and learn" and share U.S. views with delegates from Muslim nations. The appointment is intended "to demonstrate to Muslim communities our interest in respectful dialogue and continued friendship," [Bush] said. 

Great, right? A small gesture, but nice all the same. Except for the fact that five months later, nada. Zip. Zilch. No envoy.

The gesture is obviously symbolic, a band-aid for a deeply wounded U.S. image in the Middle East and the wider Muslim world. But why even bother to announce such an appointment, which is supposed to express the United States' intention to reach out to Muslims and at least appear interested in their points of view, and then not do it? It seems so careless. I asked the White House's press office when we might be able to expect an announcement, and I was told in true Yogi Berra fashion, "when we announce it, we'll announce it." I got the feeling they forgot.  

June, 2007, was the month of unfulfilled promises, it seems. On June 5, Bush declared that he'd ordered Condoleezza Rice to cable every U.S. ambassador in an unfree nation with the following message: "Seek out and meet with activists for democracy. Seek out those who demand human rights." Sounds nice, right? The Post's Jackson Diehl checked in on the status of the cable in early August. It still hadn't been sent.

It seems Europe is determined to lose in Afghanistan

Posted By Mike Boyer

Sen. Dick Lugar, the senior Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, isn't the kind of guy who goes around spouting invectives. So when he says something like this, it's worth paying attention:

I'm not certain we have a plan for Afghanistan."

The comment came at a Capitol Hill hearing yesterday where Assistant Secretary of State Richard Boucher insisted the war in Afghanistan is being won. Boucher visited Afghanistan last week and told senators, "Nobody can tell me it's not going in a positive direction." That was enough to prompt Sen. Chuck Hagel to ask the obvious: "If we are making so much progress, why are we putting in 3,200 more Marines?"

Hagel's question can be answered in one word: Europe. Sec Def Bob Gates is betting that if NATO's European members see more U.S. Marines on the ground, they will be emboldened to send more of their own boys. Gates has reportedly sent stern letters to Franz Josef Jung, the German defense minister, and his other European counterparts asking for more troops. A peeved Jung turned down the U.S. request today, saying Germany's 3,100 troops, stationed mainly in Kabul, are "doing important, useful work."

Now the question is whether the other European NATO members will also fail to heed the warnings detailed in three independent reports this week, including one led by Gen. James Jones, the former chief U.S. commander in Afghanistan, that the war in Afghanistan is being lost. "Make no mistake," the Jones report says (pdf), "NATO is not winning in Afghanistan."

Will Europe sit idly by as Afghanistan is lost? It can't have helped to have Boucher painting a rosy picture on the Hill yesterday. Public opinion in Europe remains staunchly anti-war. A majority of Germans, for instance, say they oppose the continued deployment of German troops in Afghanistan. Now many will ask why their soldiers must remain if things are going so well. To Lugar's point, it doesn't appear the Bush administration has thought this out very well.

But the real blame here is at the feet of the Europeans. There is a broad split between America and Europe on what to do in Afghanistan. Two European diplomats had to be expelled from the country at the behest of U.S. officials after they allegedly held secret talks with the Taliban behind the alliance's back. Reasonable nations can disagree on how and when to negotiate with elements such as the Taliban. But if NATO members cannot support the military effort in Afghanistan, you have to wonder what it is that these countries stand for. A failure in Afghanistan will be judged by history as pure cowardice, and NATO will have been rendered the 21st century's most useless organization.

Wild dogs threaten world leaders

Posted By Lucy Moore


Creative Commons photo via Flick user oceanhug

Kiev may have greeted U.S. President George W. Bush with several thousand "Net-NATO" (No to NATO) Ukrainian protesters, but NATO member Romania offered a far scarier welcome committee: thousands and thousands of feral dogs, running rampant in its capital city.

The NATO summit convened in Bucharest today, and while Bush was calling on transatlantic leaders to strengthen military resolve in Afghanistan inside the meeting, outside, his security detail was busy protecting nearby streets from roaming canines.

Bucharest's wild dog problem is no laughing matter, nor is it new. It began in the 1980s when Romania's brutal, inept dictator Nicolae CeauÅŸescu displaced thousands of city residents in his decision to flatten almost a fifth of the center city and build the People's House (picture the Pentagon being built on top of Georgetown). Today the monstrosity -- though an ideal spot for a NATO summit -- stands surrounded by desolate blocks, the perfect terrain for wild dogs.

In 2000, Bucharest's Mayor Traian Basescu (now Romania's president) launched a massive euthanasia campaign against what was then hundreds of thousands of wild, disease-carrying dogs. But aging French actress Brigitte Bardot staged an international hissy fit, forcing the city to turn to sterilization. Bad move. Today, the city still reports 9,000 dog bites a year. In 2006, a Japanese businessman actually died after taking one to the femoral artery.

But let's just hope security can keep the dogs in check for the summit –- President Bush has enough to worry about in the coming days as is.

Via Andrew Sullivan, some very harsh words from Antonio Taguba, the now-retired general who investigated the Abu Ghraib abuses in 2004:

After years of disclosures by government investigations, media accounts, and reports from human rights organizations, there is no longer any doubt as to whether the current administration has committed war crimes. The only question that remains to be answered is whether those who ordered the use of torture will be held to account.

I can't speak to the legalities here, but I have a question for readers on the politics. Does throwing around charged phrases like "war crimes" help or hurt Taguba's cause?

Photos: On the hot seat

Posted By Blake Hounshell

Despite the usual comments about the need to keep comments short, the senators are still bloviating. Meanwhile, the first pictures of Hank Paulson and Ben Bernanke are now dribbling in. Do these look like men who are happy to be sitting in front of the Senate Banking Committee this morning?

NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images
NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images

CIA Inspector General finds torture episode "unnecessary"

Posted By Annie Lowrey

One of the most interesting things about the four newly released Bush administration memos on the “enhanced interrogation” of detainees in overseas secret CIA prisons has been what isn’t in there, rather than what is. The truly grotesque caterpillar revelation aside, the memos weren’t very revelatory. We already knew about the SERE techniques. We knew that medical professionals attended them -- and that Jay Bybee, then an administration lawyer, now a federal judge, felt the presence of medical professionals meant it wasn’t torture.

But Tom Malinowski, of Human Rights Watch, pointed me to one truly new detail, in a footnote in the May 2005 memo from Steven Bradbury to John Rizzo, a CIA lawyer. Here’s footnote 28:

“This is not to say that the interrogation program has worked perfectly. According to the IG Report, the CIA, at least initially, could not always distinguish detainees who had information but were successfully resisting interrogation from those who did not actually have the information….On at least one occasion, this may have resulted in what might be deemed in retrospect to have been the unnecessary use of enhanced techniques. On that occasion, although the on-scene interrogation team judged Zubaydah to be compliant, elements within CIA headquarters still believed he was withholding information. [REDACTED PORTION.] At the direction of CIA Headquarters, interrogators therefore used the waterboard one more time on Zubaydah.”

Which marks the first time a memo has admitted that waterboarding was “unnecessary.”

Just posted

Posted By Jai Singh

Joe Cirincione says he used to think military options on Iran were just used for posturing. Now he's not so sure.

For months, I have told interviewers that no senior political or military official was seriously considering a military attack on Iran. In the last few weeks, I have changed my view. In part, this shift was triggered by colleagues with close ties to the Pentagon and the executive branch who have convinced me that some senior officials have already made up their minds: They want to hit Iran.

Karzai's Crucible

Posted By David Bosco

KarzaiThe last few days have been tough for Afghan President Hamid Karzai. The Washington Post splashed a story Monday suggesting that US and European officials doubt Karzai has the moxie to stabilize the country. The article spurred Condoleezza Rice into a public affirmation of support and an aggressive denunciation of the anonymous officials casting stones.

Who are they? For whom do they speak? And what level do they speak?" Rice asked. "I have not heard this from my counterparts. Steve Hadley doesn't hear this from his counterparts. The president doesn't hear this from his counterparts."

The recent reporting about Karzai's shortcomings has suggested that his failures to combat drugs and warlords, on the one hand, and his government's fight against Taliban insurgents, on the other, are of a piece. But several informed observers have told me that, in some areas of the country at least, the struggles pull in opposite directions. So, a corrupt local governor with a hand in the opium jar may be quite effective at mobilizing local militias to combat the Taliban. Fire the governor for his sins and security quickly deteriorates. Afghanistan is still very much a pick-your-poison world. Unfortunately, outsiders impatient for results have little time for that game.  

The misguided logic of the "long war"

Posted By Mike Boyer

IED blastIn a fascinating new twist of logic, top Bush administration officials have used a series of speeches in the last week or so to say that we don't need a military strategy for victory in Iraq, we just need the political will to stay there indefinitely. In Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld's words:

History has shown time and again that if Americans have the patience and perseverance to see an effort through -- no matter how hard or how difficult -- we prevail."

Here's the problem with the administration's logic: History proves the exact opposite. The administration's "long war" logic might be true of cold wars, but it is not true of hot wars. No hot U.S. war in the last 100 years has been fought for more than five years without being lost. World War I, World War II, and Korea were all won within five years of America joining the fight. Only Vietnam, which lasted more than a decade, was lost. Does anyone really believe that if the policy in Vietnam had been "stay the course indefinitely" we would have eventually won? Just ask the Russians if that strategy worked in Afghanistan.

These speeches are timed to coincide with the fifth anniversary of 9/11, and they are laden with heavy historical rhetoric, invoking World War II, Korea, and even Vietnam, which Rumsfeld says "the nation and history increasingly appreciates." With mid-term elections bearing down and a presidential election just two years away, the Bush administration wants Americans to believe that political will is more important than having a plan to win. Again, in Rumsfeld's words:

The question is not whether we can win. It is whether we have the will to persevere."

Sadly, history proves the opposite. The fight against extremist ideologies in the Middle East might be a long war. But Iraq and Afghanistan had better not be. Invoking the heroism of history is all well and good, but with the lives of hundreds of thousands of U.S. troops on the line in Afghanistan and Iraq, please tell me that their commanders have a better plan.

Why they never found WMD in Iraq

Posted By Carolyn O'Hara

George Will gets it right today. This anecdote from Woodward's new book would be hilarious were it not about war:

While leading the hunt for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq in the summer of 2003, David Kay received a phone call from "Scooter" Libby, Dick Cheney's chief of staff, who wanted a particular place searched: "The vice president wants to know if you've looked at this area. We have indications -- and here are the geocoordinates -- that something's buried there." Kay and his experts located the area on the map. It was in the middle of Lebanon.

If you mean, by 'military victory,' an Iraqi government that can be established and whose writ runs across the whole country, that gets the civil war under control and sectarian violence under control in a time period that the political processes of the democracies will support, I don’t believe that is possible," Mr. Kissinger told BBC News.

Rice is a Foxy lady

Posted By Preeti Aroon

Condi Hearts Hume

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice inadvertently revealed her media favorites Thursday when she said:

My Fox guys, I love every single one of them.

Her gushing comment about Fox News's correspondents was overheard on an open microphone between television interviews. She also said she'd like to do an interview with CBS anchor Harry Smith, adding, "He's a decent guy. I know they are, like, 55 in the ratings, but I like him."

Be careful what you wish for ...

Posted By Christine Y. Chen


JIM WATSON/AFP

While Bush has been traveling south of the border, much has been made by the Latin America's leaders about how the U.S. president hasn't paid enough attention to the region during his two terms in office. On Monday, Mexican President Felipe Calderón lamented that Bush had once promised to make its relations with Mexico a priority:

In a meeting like this one,” Mr. Calderón said to Mr. Bush, “you expressed some years ago that there is no relationship all over the world that is more relevant to the United States than that one that you have with Mexico.” It was understandable that the Sept. 11 attacks led to some changes in national priorities in the United States, he said, but “nevertheless, I believe that it is now time to retake the spirit of those words, and to direct our relationship toward a path of mutual prosperity.”

Here's my question for the Mexican president: Given his administration's track record, do you really want to be #1 on Bush's foreign policy priority list? Shouldn't you be glad that you've been ignored? Ask Iraq what it's like to be the center of U.S. attention.

Forget 1960, this one's gonna be like '76

Posted By Mike Boyer

Everyone seems to want to compare the 2008 election to 1960. I guess the analogy is that, if Democrats can make 2008 a referendum on Iraq, just as John F. Kennedy made 1960 about America falling behind in the Cold War, then victory is in the bag. Jennifer Ruben made the case in the New York Observer on Tuesday:

It has been over 45 years since John F. Kennedy campaigned against Richard Nixon, an inveterate anticommunist with impressive foreign-policy credentials, on the 'missile gap'.... It has taken over four decades, but the time may once again have come for the Democratic Party to run on defense and foreign policy.... It's 1960 all over again.

Let's set aside for a moment the fact that Kennedy was as wrong about the missile gap as George W. Bush was about WMDs in Iraq. In the end, I'm fearful the better analogy might be to 1976. All of the candidates in the field so far—from both sides of the aisle—look more like foreign-policy lightweights such as Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter than they do John F. Kennedy.

I'll get to the Republicans in a later post. For now, what I want to know is: What foreign policy, exactly, do the Democrats plan to run on in 2008?

Until yesterday, I thought the policy was withdrawal from Iraq, an idea that resonates with the Democratic base, many independents, and an increasing number of Republicans. But it took Democrats about 12 hours from the time of Bush's veto to drop their insistence on a timeline for bringing troops home. That didn't look very Kennedy-like to me. But it didn't stop House Speaker Nancy Pelosi from trying to remain indignant, saying, "But make no mistake: Democrats are committed to ending this war."

But how? Sure, as Blake's post suggests, upcoming appropriations bills will provide some opportunities. But what's to say Bush won't veto those too, and that he won't still have the votes to block an override? And after the troops have come home, the terrorist threat won't have gone away—merely modifying terminology won't change that. What's the Democrats' plan for keeping Americans safe?

I'm hardly the first to ask this question. When the Democrats took control of Congress, I remembered a 2004 article by Peter Beinart—who, like Kennedy, is a liberal hawk— in which he posited that the fundamental failure of the Democrats is their inability to formulate a foreign policy consisting of anything other than criticisms of Bush:

When liberals talk about America's new era, the discussion is largely negative--against the Iraq war, against restrictions on civil liberties, against America's worsening reputation in the world.

Beinart has gotten many things wrong, particularly when it comes to Iraq and the war on terror. But here he's got a point. And three years later, the Democrats still haven't convinced the U.S. public that they are anything but "not Bush." Is that good enough to win? We'll find out in 2008.

North Korea gets its $25 million

Posted By Blake Hounshell


MIKE CLARKE/AFP

After many, many fits and starts, North Korea reportedly got its $25 million in frozen funds back today. Banco Delta Asia released the money to a undisclosed location, possibly a Russian bank. 

The apparent issue holding up the transfer was that the North Koreans didn't want the United States to simply wire them the money; they wanted a private bank to handle the funds in order to confer a sense of legitimacy on the country's accounts. But no bank would take the reputational risk involved in passing along cash that could be tied to drugs or money laundering.

One thing the North Koreans will soon find out, however: Resolution of the $25 million won't end the country's financial isolation. As U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice told the Wall Street Journal recently:

Once one of these -- once you are -- your accounts are called out this way in the international financial system, the international financial system is not readily available.

This is a problem for the international community as well as North Korea, however. Kim Jong Il's regime engages in nasty illegal activities not for the heck of it, but to make up for an estimated $1.7 billion shortfall (pdf) in hard currency. Now that the nuclear deal appears to be going forward, serious effort needs to be made to help the North Koreans understand that there are other ways to make a buck.

Please don't make me leave ... Gitmo?

Posted By Deniz Ozdemir


PAUL J. RICHARDS/AFP/Getty Images

The U.S. detention facility at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, has become a huge thorn in the White House's side, both at home and abroad.

But it looks like Vice President Dick Cheney might have found an unexpected ally in his quest to keep its doors open: Algerian detainee Ahmed Belbacha has been fighting to be allowed to stay at Gitmo. And while a U.S. federal judge rejected his motion to stop his transfer last week, his lawyers are not ready to give up.

So what could possibly be so great in there? Is it the 22 hours each day in an all-steel isolation cell with no windows and no contact with other inmates? Michael Moore might insist that it's the great healthcare.

But actually, it's what Belbacha fears is waiting for him upon his return home. Zachary Katznelson, his lawyer, says:

Even though the Americans say he poses no threat, Ahmed fears that he has the stamp of Guantanamo Bay on him and he will be treated by the authorities as a terrorist if he is returned to Algeria. It is a bizarre situation because the reason he left in the first place was because the Islamist terrorists were threatening to kill him.

A U.S. military spokesman reassures us that the United States requires countries receiving detainees from Guantánamo to pledge that they will treat them humanely. Groups like Human Rights Watch have plenty to say about how far these empty "diplomatic assurances" will get you. For men like Ahmed Belbacha, suddenly Gitmo doesn't look all that bad.

Reporters sense Iraq "war fatigue" setting in

Posted By David Francis


MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images

The National Press Club on Thursday morning hosted two interesting panel discussions on the Iraq war and the press. Sponsored by Harvard's Joan Shorenstein Center, the program featured reporters and media experts discussing lessons learned during the war and the relationship between the military and the press. Topics ranged from the role of patriotism in reporting to constraints of embedded journalism. But the general mood of the talks were summed up by NBC Pentagon correspondent Jim Miklaszewski, who said:

The nation, the government, the Congress, the military and many in the Pentagon are suffering war fatigue.

He and other panelist said this fatigue makes it difficult to inform readers of the reality on the ground, as people either don't want to or are sick of hearing about it. We'll see if the public has the stomach for the eventual pullout and its aftermath, which by all indications will be violent and long. 

Another popular point of discussion was the relationship between the press and the Pentagon under Donald Rumsfeld compared with Robert Gates. The panelist said Rumsfeld was antagonistic from the start (I mean, who can forget the briefings in which he questioned reporters' intelligence?), while Gates has tried to convince the rank and file that the press is not the enemy.

The difference in the relationship between reporters and the military was best expressed in an anecdote from ABC national security correspondent Jonathan Karl. Under Rumsfeld, Karl said, the Pentagon's "Early Bird" briefing—a daily electronic rundown of all defense-related news—started off with not with the press accounts themselves, but with corrections and letters to the editors (some unpublished), which challenged the stories. In the past, these items usually ran at the bottom of the e-mail, so placing them front and center was an obvious attempt to embarrass reporters for mistakes or for what the Pentagon thought were misleading stories. Now, under Gates, the corrections and letters have returned to their original place.

State Department officials sound off on Embassy Baghdad

Posted By Mike Boyer

In this post last Friday, we asked U.S. foreign service officers to send their thoughts on Embassy Baghdad and the possibility that they might be forcibly deployed there. A couple of the responses we've received thus far are posted below. And we'd like to hear more. E-mail us with your views.

I have mixed feelings on the directed assignments to Iraq. I believe fundamentally in worldwide availability and in serving at hard-to fill and hardship posts.... I'm not afraid of danger -- I served two years in Pakistan. I accepted the daily risk of a terrorist attack on my home, office or vehicle because I thought our mission there was important and my work made a difference....

So why haven't I volunteered yet? For starters, I'm not an Arabic speaker. I have no desire to learn Arabic, and that comes from my impressions of how women are treated in the Arab world.... I've served in three other Muslim countries and found meaningful ways to promote  U.S. policy and programs, but I'm just not interested in learning Arabic unless I am told I have to.

However, had I been on the list of Prime Candidates, I would have contacted my CDO [Career Development Officer] and taken my assignment. Immediately. Without all the fuss. I think the "death sentence" comment was a bit dramatic.  We haven't lost diplomats in Iraq (versus six FS deaths in Karachi in the last decade-- and I would happily serve in Karachi).... Worldwide availability means worldwide, and if the Secretary deems this a policy priority, we signed up to support that mission.

And the second: 

I have twice volunteered for Iraq Service, but not been selected.... It is pointless to argue whether or not the United States should be in Iraq; we are there and must be constructive if possible.... In my opinion, Ambassador Crocker's staffing requests are absurd and purely based on the politics of looking like you are trying. I do not believe there is enough work -- that can feasibly be accomplished -- for 40 mid-level political, economic, and public affairs officers at Embassy Baghdad....

The Secretary has failed to bring our Service along with her. She was quoted as being disappointed with the staff in Baghdad after a trip there. She calls on the service, on Embassies around the world, to make sacrifices to give the Administration's adventure in Iraq a prayer of succeeding. But at the same time she demonstrates neither the courage nor the effort to seek adequate resources -- not before from a Republican Congress, and not now with Democrats....

The Foreign Service has been painted into a corner, and watch what happens next: we will be again criticized as unpatriotic elitist cowards.... We will come out looking lousy, even if only because we did not sign up, get trained, prepare, or develop skills to serve in a war zone. Perhaps it is giving the Secretary and [Director General Harry Thomas] too much credit to suggest this is done on purpose; to throw the Foreign Service under the bus.... It was particularly disgraceful when DG Thomas asked about a time when "88 percent of people thought slavery was fine." At a minimum, this official should never speak in public if he cannot stay near the message. His defensiveness before the "Human Resources" he allegedly manages suggests that his first priority is policy. Not people. The contrast to Secretary Powell's time, when we were his "troops," is stunning.

Passport welcomes additional comments. Your identity will be kept strictly confidential.

A fun fact about Vice President Cheney

Posted By Blake Hounshell

According to the Weekly Standard's Fred Barnes, "Cheney has a piece of the house where Zarqawi died on display at his residence."

Passport, FP’s flagship blog, brings you news and hidden angles on the biggest stories of the day, as well as insights and under-the-radar gems from around the world.

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